Ahmednasir Abdullahi Claims Ruto’s Support in Mt Kenya Has Dropped to 43%, Uhuru No Longer a Factor

• Lawyer Ahmednasir Abdullahi has explained his preliminary findings from his recent tour of Central Kenya
• Ahmednasir explained how President William Ruto will win the 2027 General Election despite losing significant support from the Mt. Kenya region
• His findings attracted divided opinions from a section of Kenyans who have seemingly been following the region's politics

Nancy Odindo, a TUKO.co.ke journalist, has over four years of experience covering Kenyan politics, news, and features for digital and print media.

Senior Counsel Ahmednasir Abdullahi has suggested that President William Ruto's support base has significantly dropped in Central Kenya compared to 2022.

In a data statement shared on his X platform after what he described as a 'meet-the-people' tour of the region, Ahmednasir revealed his preliminary findings, suggesting that Ruto's support in the Mt. Kenya region has dropped from 88% in 2022 to 43%.

This comes amid heightening political temperatures and the widening fallout between Ruto and his former deputy, Rigathi Gachagua.

Read also

Rigathi Gachagua announces he'll lead massive rally in Eldoret, Bomet when he returns: "Ruto is scared"

"President Ruto, in 2022, got 88% of the vote in Central Kenya. My tour confirms that he has lost significant support. On average, his support now hovers around 43%," he disclosed.

According to the senior counsel, the president's strongest backing is in Kiambu and Laikipia counties, while his weakest support was recorded in Nyeri.

He noted that while there is no clear consensus on the grievances against Ruto, residents cited the struggling economy, alleged corruption, and concerns over the Judiciary as key issues.

He also observed that despite Gachagua's impeachment, he is considered the kingpin, while retired president Uhuru Kenyatta no longer holds influence in the region's political landscape.

Will Ruto win the 2027 General Election?

Despite this apparent decline in popularity, the lawyer argued that Ruto would still secure a victory in the next election—even with as little as 1% support from Central Kenya.

Read also

Rigathi Gachagua rubbishes tribalist tag, claims it's strategy by Ruto: "I'm the darling of Kenyans"

According to him, Ruto will be re-elected as long as he maintains backing from Luo Nyanza and his traditional voter base.

"He will win at 7.10am even if he gets 1% of Central Kenya votes, so long as Luo Nyanza and his traditional voter base remain intact. Central Kenya votes are very important but not determinant!" he said.

However, Ahmednasir declined to provide details regarding the size of his sample, the population surveyed, the confidence level, or the research methodology used during the tour.

How did Kenyans react to Ahmednasir's findings?

His observations sparked debate and varying opinions, with many questioning the accuracy of the findings amid political happenings in parts of Central Kenya.

@AlchemistKenya

"43% support is extremely ridiculous and contemptuous. His Mt. Kenya support is not greater than 1%, to be honest. Out of 100 people from mlima, nobody wants Ruto to rule the next minute. Your score is rigged."

Read also

Kenyan newspapers, August 5: Sifuna's stint as ODM SG uncertain as MP discloses date for likely ouster

@MDCCCXVIII_

"Sijui ulikua Central gani, labda Central Police Station juu saa hii Ruto akipata kura mingi ni za watu ameeka Cabinet alafu Rigathi is no kingpin; he is just an entertainer."

@NahashonKimemia

"Ati 43%? Jaba! If he manages 7% in Mt Kenya in 2027, atakuwa amejaribu. Yes, Gachagua is the kingpin. Uhuru is a factor if he uses his financial & political resources to help remove the president. Grievances are the bad economy, betrayal, Gen Z murders, & now, trying to push 41 v 1."

@j_ngonde

"It is too early. They will turn around by December 2026 to 2022 levels once they experience the real projects that the president is delivering."

@DanielKisonyo

"This is skewed research with favouritism as the objective. Total prejudice to ensure sympathy for the Ruto regime."

Is Ruto the most accomplished president?

Meanwhile, speaking during a previous meeting, Ruto described himself as the most accomplished president in Kenya’s history, citing his extensive political experience and academic credentials.

Read also

Ruto declares himself Kenya's best-ever president: "Hatujawahi kuwa na daktari ambaye ni rais"

Ruto likened his leadership to the strengths of past presidents, combining courage, education, and development focus.

Further, he emphasised that with such a background, he is fully equipped to deliver transformative leadership for the country.

Proofreading by Mercy Nyambura, copy editor at TUKO.co.ke.

Source: TUKO.co.ke